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Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?
$1,816,306 Vol.Dec 31, 2025Reckon
OpenAI
$56,887 Vol.
96%
18%
xAI
$211,100 Vol.
96%
58%
DeepSeek
$292,541 Vol.
3%
Anthropic
$603,092 Vol.
3%
Meta
$151,996 Vol.
3%
Zhipu AI
$134,441 Vol.
3%
Mistral
$112,768 Vol.
3%
Alibaba
$182,891 Vol.
3%
Nvidia
$47,868 Vol.
3%
01A1
$22,721 Vol.
3%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed modelI ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Lea... This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed modelI ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Market Opened: Jan 27, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
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