← Markets
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1,711,813 Vol.Jun 29, 2026Reckon
Anthropic
$257,971 Vol.
96%
77%
OpenAI
$455,499 Vol.
3%
1%
DeepSeek
$287,512 Vol.
3%
xAI
$594,365 Vol.
3%
Meta
$30,984 Vol.
3%
Mistral
$16,157 Vol.
3%
Alibaba
$20,914 Vol.
3%
Nvidia
$10,181 Vol.
3%
Baidu
$12,315 Vol.
3%
Z.ai
$20,598 Vol.
3%
Meituan
$5,317 Vol.
3%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Cha... This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025, 5:32 PM ET
- No recent trades