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10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?

Trade War Vol. $9,610 50 traders

65% Chance14%
$9,610 Vol. Aug 21, 2025
10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?
4% 63%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on August 22, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Market Opened: Aug 15, 2025, 1:35 PM ET