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10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?

Economy Vol. $3,659 50 traders

2% Chance6%
$3,659 Vol. Sep 11, 2025
10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?
4% 2%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on September 12, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Market Opened: Sep 5, 2025, 1:16 PM ET