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Ukraine predictions & odds

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31

18%

Yes18%No80%

November 30

12%

Yes12%No86%

$12M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

October 31

96%

Yes96%No3%

$2M Vol.

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027

12%

Yes12%No87%

December 31, 2026

3%

Yes3%No95%

$30M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027

70%

Yes70%No28%

November 30, 2027

66%

Yes66%No32%

$10M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 31

80%

Yes80%No19%

November 30

72%

Yes72%No26%

$2M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 31, 2027

52%

Yes52%No47%

March 31, 2027

27%

Yes27%No72%

$3M Vol.