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Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$1,725,045 Vol.Dec 31, 2026Reckon
Pete Hegseth
$197,772 Vol.
42%
11%
Susie Wiles
$77,690 Vol.
42%
7%
Kristi Noem
$100,644 Vol.
27%
Markwayne Mullin
$3,240 Vol.
23%
1%
Stephen Miller
$16,847 Vol.
19%
4%
Kash Patel
$323,198 Vol.
19%
1%
Tom Homan
$649 Vol.
18%
5%
Russell Vought
$1,236 Vol.
17%
3%
Marco Rubio
$169,235 Vol.
16%
3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$99,498 Vol.
15%
6%
Howard Lutnick
$110,596 Vol.
15%
5%
Lee Zeldin
$35,009 Vol.
13%
1%
John Ratcliffe
$805 Vol.
12%
David Sacks
$10,411 Vol.
9%
1%
Dan Scavino
$1,516 Vol.
7%
23%
Scott Bessent
$21,360 Vol.
6%
1%
Karoline Leavitt
$77,116 Vol.
96%
80%
Tulsi Gabbard
$100,648 Vol.
96%
40%
Pam Bondi
$365,319 Vol.
96%
2%
Dan Bongino
$5,144 Vol.
96%
16%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$7,110 Vol.
96%
17%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Dona... This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
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