← Markets
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Loading chart…
None
$94,425 Vol.
25%
2%
IA, KS
$744,096 Vol.
16%
5%
IA
$620,693 Vol.
15%
8%
KS
$13,181 Vol.
5%
2%
IA, KS, ME
$18,185 Vol.
5%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX
$8,287 Vol.
4%
IA, KS, TX
$7,313 Vol.
4%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX
$14,464 Vol.
4%
1%
IA, KS, ME, TX
$8,124 Vol.
4%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX
$13,098 Vol.
4%
IA, ME
$16,948 Vol.
4%
All 7
$50,161 Vol.
4%
4%
AK, IA, KS
$5,055 Vol.
3%
1%
IA, KS, OH
$6,785 Vol.
3%
IA, TX
$8,477 Vol.
3%
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX
$4,199 Vol.
3%
IA, KS, MI
$7,720 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, KS, ME
$5,555 Vol.
3%
2%
KS, ME
$6,372 Vol.
3%
ME
$7,307 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, KS, TX
$4,902 Vol.
3%
IA, MI
$13,197 Vol.
3%
1%
AK
$5,364 Vol.
3%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$2,923 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH
$2,065 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX
$2,153 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX
$3,224 Vol.
3%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$5,286 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI
$3,976 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH
$1,693 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH
$2,387 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX
$1,595 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX
$3,103 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH
$2,760 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX
$1,711 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX
$6,359 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX
$2,487 Vol.
3%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH
$2,714 Vol.
3%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX
$2,698 Vol.
3%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX
$8,346 Vol.
3%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX
$2,460 Vol.
3%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX
$2,638 Vol.
3%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH
$1,485 Vol.
3%
1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX
$11,638 Vol.
3%
1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX
$1,765 Vol.
3%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX
$1,845 Vol.
3%
KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$6,220 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, KS, MI
$1,886 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, KS, OH
$5,718 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, ME, MI
$2,424 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, ME, OH
$2,270 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, ME, TX
$2,278 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, MI, OH
$5,461 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, MI, TX
$2,091 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, OH, TX
$2,217 Vol.
3%
AK, KS, ME, MI
$5,240 Vol.
3%
AK, KS, ME, OH
$2,271 Vol.
3%
AK, KS, ME, TX
$2,737 Vol.
3%
AK, KS, MI, OH
$2,007 Vol.
3%
AK, KS, MI, TX
$2,896 Vol.
3%
AK, KS, OH, TX
$1,113 Vol.
3%
AK, ME, MI, OH
$4,409 Vol.
3%
AK, ME, MI, TX
$4,332 Vol.
3%
AK, ME, OH, TX
$2,670 Vol.
3%
AK, MI, OH, TX
$1,746 Vol.
3%
IA, KS, ME, MI
$983 Vol.
3%
1%
IA, KS, ME, OH
$9,865 Vol.
3%
IA, KS, MI, OH
$1,599 Vol.
3%
IA, KS, MI, TX
$2,031 Vol.
3%
IA, KS, OH, TX
$4,205 Vol.
3%
IA, ME, MI, OH
$2,792 Vol.
3%
IA, ME, MI, TX
$7,065 Vol.
3%
IA, ME, OH, TX
$5,315 Vol.
3%
IA, MI, OH, TX
$2,241 Vol.
3%
KS, ME, MI, OH
$2,375 Vol.
3%
KS, ME, MI, TX
$1,958 Vol.
3%
KS, ME, OH, TX
$4,680 Vol.
3%
1%
KS, MI, OH, TX
$2,457 Vol.
3%
ME, MI, OH, TX
$2,252 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, ME
$1,979 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, MI
$3,117 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, OH
$2,409 Vol.
3%
AK, IA, TX
$3,042 Vol.
3%
1%
AK, KS, ME
$1,917 Vol.
3%
3%
AK, KS, MI
$2,390 Vol.
3%
AK, KS, OH
$2,369 Vol.
3%
AK, KS, TX
$2,004 Vol.
3%
AK, ME, MI
$1,926 Vol.
3%
AK, ME, OH
$2,080 Vol.
3%
AK, ME, TX
$2,146 Vol.
3%
AK, MI, OH
$2,018 Vol.
3%
AK, MI, TX
$1,995 Vol.
3%
AK, OH, TX
$2,310 Vol.
3%
IA, ME, MI
$2,305 Vol.
3%
IA, ME, OH
$2,485 Vol.
3%
IA, ME, TX
$2,560 Vol.
3%
IA, MI, OH
$2,309 Vol.
3%
IA, MI, TX
$3,684 Vol.
3%
IA, OH, TX
$1,727 Vol.
3%
KS, ME, MI
$1,879 Vol.
3%
KS, ME, OH
$1,085 Vol.
3%
1%
KS, ME, TX
$2,180 Vol.
3%
KS, MI, OH
$2,687 Vol.
3%
KS, MI, TX
$2,162 Vol.
3%
KS, OH, TX
$2,257 Vol.
3%
1%
ME, MI, OH
$2,940 Vol.
3%
ME, MI, TX
$3,980 Vol.
3%
ME, OH, TX
$996 Vol.
3%
MI, OH, TX
$2,662 Vol.
3%
AK, IA
$3,378 Vol.
3%
AK, KS
$1,664 Vol.
3%
AK, ME
$1,937 Vol.
3%
AK, MI
$767 Vol.
3%
AK, OH
$1,647 Vol.
3%
AK, TX
$2,955 Vol.
3%
1%
IA, OH
$5,307 Vol.
3%
1%
KS, MI
$2,114 Vol.
3%
KS, OH
$1,882 Vol.
3%
KS, TX
$7,882 Vol.
3%
ME, MI
$892 Vol.
3%
ME, OH
$2,416 Vol.
3%
ME, TX
$5,664 Vol.
3%
MI, OH
$2,611 Vol.
3%
MI, TX
$5,553 Vol.
3%
OH, TX
$5,894 Vol.
3%
MI
$5,785 Vol.
3%
OH
$5,240 Vol.
3%
1%
TX
$8,218 Vol.
3%
Rules
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A s... This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027.
A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 26, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
- No recent trades