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US Election predictions & odds

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

67%

Yes67%No32%

R Senate, D House

25%

Yes25%No73%

$31M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

44%

Yes44%No55%

Marco Rubio

16%

Yes16%No82%

$716M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

90%

Yes90%No9%

Republican Party

9%

Yes9%No90%

$21M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

18%

Yes18%No80%

Jon Ossoff

16%

Yes16%No82%

$1.3B Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman

50%

Yes50%No48%

Karen Bass

48%

Yes48%No51%

$16M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

67%

Yes67%No32%

Republican Party

32%

Yes32%No67%

$8M Vol.

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R)

93%

Yes93%No5%

Todd Achilles (I)

5%

Yes5%No93%

$384K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

70%

Yes70%No29%

Mike Rogers (R)

29%

Yes29%No70%

$2M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

21%

Yes21%No78%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

14%

Yes14%No85%

$718M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)

65%

Yes65%No33%

Ken Paxton (R)

33%

Yes33%No65%

$6M Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)

61%

Yes61%No37%

Adam Hamilton (D)

37%

Yes37%No61%

$1M Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)

71%

Yes71%No28%

Independent

27%

Yes27%No72%

$917K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)

68%

Yes68%No30%

Jon Husted (R)

31%

Yes31%No68%

$2M Vol.

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