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Jerome Powell
predictions & odds
Fed Decision in September?
50+ bps decrease
3%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
3%
Yes
No
3 more
$102.5M
Vol.
16 sept
fomc
Potential payout
$25
→
$2500
2,050 trading
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
90%
Yes
No
1 (25 bps)
7%
Yes
No
11 more
$51.6M
Vol.
31 dec
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
1,031 trading
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