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Iran predictions & odds

Israel closes its airspace by...?

May 8 3% Yes No
May 31 3% Yes No
17 more
$29.7MVol. 1 oct Politics

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

July 24 3% Yes No
July 31 3% Yes No
18 more
$26.5MVol. 1 jan Iran

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18 96% Yes No
July 20 96% Yes No
21 more
$28.9MVol. 31 dec Iran

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

June 30 3% Yes No
July 31 3% Yes No
7 more
$17.3MVol. 1 jan Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

4%

Chance

Yes4¢ No48¢
$1.6MVol. 15 sept Oil

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

September 4 58% Yes No
September 11 67% Yes No
3 more
$676.6KVol. 1 oct Iran

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

August 15 3% Yes No
August 31 3% Yes No
7 more
$1.6MVol. 1 nov Iran

Iran full airspace closure by...?

June 30 3% Yes No
July 15 3% Yes No
8 more
$9.4MVol. 1 jan Iran