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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Oil Vol. $379,676 50 traders

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; …69%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; …30%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Se…<1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Se…<1%
$379,676 Vol. Nov 3, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$60,048 Vol.
67% 2%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$77,026 Vol.
30%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$121,591 Vol.
3% 1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$121,011 Vol.
3% 1%

Rules

The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.

Market Opened: Oct 12, 2026, 3:05 PM ET