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Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Politics Vol. $67,790 50 traders

J.D. Vance90%
Ted Cruz88%
Pete Buttigieg86%
Gavin Newsom82%
$67,790 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

71
Chance
Gavin Newsom
80%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
52% ▼ 1
Pete Buttigieg
83% ▼ 1
Josh Shapiro
62%
Wes Moore
62% ▼ 2
Stephen A. Smith
19% ▼ 1
Kamala Harris
71% ▲ 4
Gretchen Whitmer
38% ▼ 1
Andy Beshear
76% ▲ 1
Jon Ossoff
61% ▲ 1
Mark Cuban
19%
J.B. Pritzker
65% ▲ 2
Raphael Warnock
35% ▲ 2
Cory Booker
64% ▲ 1
Tim Walz
11%
Michelle Obama
17% ▲ 1
Mark Kelly
62% ▼ 1
Rahm Emanuel
72% ▲ 1
Gina Raimondo
21% ▲ 1
Zohran Mamdani
12%
Roy Cooper
16% ▲ 1
John Fetterman
28% ▼ 11
Jared Polis
37% ▲ 1
Jon Stewart
18%
Barack Obama
4%
Hillary Clinton
4%
Liz Cheney
14%
Bernie Sanders
15% ▼ 1
Phil Murphy
22% ▼ 1
LeBron James
3%
Hunter Biden
42% ▲ 10
George Clooney
18% ▼ 2
Chelsea Clinton
11% ▲ 2
MrBeast
10%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
17%
Oprah Winfrey
14% ▲ 1
Andrew Yang
66% ▲ 2
Beto O’Rourke
27% ▼ 1
Kim Kardashian
14%
Donald Trump
13%
J.D. Vance
87%
Marco Rubio
29% ▼ 5
Tulsi Gabbard
19% ▼ 1
Glenn Youngkin
31% ▲ 1
Donald Trump Jr.
20%
Ron DeSantis
78% ▲ 2
Nikki Haley
36% ▼ 3
Vivek Ramaswamy
20% ▼ 1
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
51% ▲ 1
Greg Abbott
25% ▲ 1
Brian Kemp
25%
Byron Donalds
22%
Elise Stefanik
30% ▼ 2
Josh Hawley
60% ▲ 1
Ted Cruz
85% ▲ 1
Elon Musk
20%
Matt Gaetz
52% ▼ 1
Katie Britt
22% ▼ 8
John Thune
16% ▼ 1
Kristi Noem
30% ▲ 1
Mike Pence
17% ▼ 1
Tucker Carlson
26%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
16%
Ivanka Trump
28%
Tom Brady
15% ▼ 1
Rand Paul
36%
Steve Bannon
18% ▼ 1
Erika Kirk
9%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
30%
Don Lemon
27% ▼ 1
Candace Owens
48%

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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