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Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Music Vol. $168,051 50 traders

Bad Bunny100%
Drake100%
Harry Styles100%
Ariana Grande100%
$168,051 Vol. Music

Outcomes

28
Chance
A$AP Rocky
6%
Ariana Grande Resolved
96% ▲ 2
Bad Bunny Resolved
96% ▲ 1
Billie Eilish
21% ▼ 3
Doja Cat
14%
Drake Resolved
96%
Ed Sheeran
9% ▲ 1
Future
9% ▲ 1
Harry Styles Resolved
96% ▲ 6
Jack Harlow
13% ▲ 2
Kendrick Lamar
30%
Lil Baby
41% ▼ 5
Luke Combs
18% ▲ 3
Morgan Wallen
30% ▼ 3
Olivia Rodrigo Resolved
96% ▲ 34
Peso Pluma
49% ▼ 3
Playboi Carti
21% ▼ 1
Post Malone
31% ▲ 1
Rihanna
8% ▼ 1
Sabrina Carpenter
24%
SZA
21% ▲ 2
The Weeknd
12% ▼ 3
Travis Scott
12% ▼ 1
Tyler, The Creator
9% ▼ 6
Zach Bryan
16% ▼ 2
Kanye West
4% ▼ 1
Frank Ocean
8% ▼ 3
Mariah Carey
77%

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart. Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.

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