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Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Fed Vol. $30,427 50 traders

3% Chance3%
$30,427 Vol. Dec 31, 2026
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
6%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Warsh must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g. “I am planning to fire Warsh”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Kevin W...

Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET