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Iran leader end of 2026?
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Mojtaba Khamenei
$6,900,141 Vol.
83%
2%
No Head of State
$1,172,534 Vol.
6%
Reza Pahlavi
$709,791 Vol.
5%
Alireza Arafi
$2,330,516 Vol.
3%
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
$476,134 Vol.
3%
Sadegh Larijani
$590,287 Vol.
3%
Hassan Khomeini
$1,456,437 Vol.
3%
Hassan Shariatmadari
$3,180,651 Vol.
3%
Maryam Rajavi
$906,857 Vol.
3%
Massoud Rajavi
$436,702 Vol.
3%
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
$3,729,353 Vol.
3%
Reza Pirzadeh
$187,859 Vol.
3%
Navid Shomali
$259,883 Vol.
3%
Mustafa Hijri
$239,422 Vol.
3%
Ali Motahari
$860,234 Vol.
3%
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
$442,684 Vol.
3%
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
$3,386,165 Vol.
3%
Sadegh Mahsouli
$275,840 Vol.
3%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,036,172 Vol.
3%
Saeed Jalili
$425,104 Vol.
3%
Hassan Rouhani
$953,693 Vol.
3%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
$1,135,820 Vol.
3%
Mohammad Khatami
$5,222,010 Vol.
3%
Abbas Araghchi
$839,342 Vol.
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
$786,360 Vol.
3%
Mohsen Araki
$324,951 Vol.
3%
Nasir Hosseini
$300,773 Vol.
3%
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
$333,140 Vol.
3%
Ali Asghar Hejazi
$393,375 Vol.
3%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
$928,139 Vol.
3%
Mohammad Pakpour
$0 Vol.
3%
Ali Larijani
$236,860 Vol.
3%
Rules
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appo... This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Market Opened: Feb 28, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
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