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Gemini 4.0 released by...?

Gemini Vol. $412,382 50 traders

November 3090%
October 3175%
September 3031%
September 155%
$412,382 Vol. Gemini

Outcomes

7
Chance
July 31 Resolved
3%
August 31 Resolved
3%
September 30
31%
September 15
7%
October 31
73% ▲ 2
November 30
87% ▲ 1
June 30 Resolved
3%

Recent trades

  • No recent trades

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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