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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Politics Vol. $585,564 50 traders

$585,564 Vol.Jun 30, 2027Reckon
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$27,258 Vol.
90%
Marine Le Pen
$35,446 Vol.
89%
Fabien Roussel
$4,821 Vol.
83% 1%
Nathalie Arthaud
$8,274 Vol.
83%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$30,192 Vol.
83% 4%
Édouard Philippe
$21,650 Vol.
81%
David Lisnard
$25,288 Vol.
78% 1%
Éric Zemmour
$20,694 Vol.
77% 2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$3,227 Vol.
67% 2%
Bruno Retailleau
$19,096 Vol.
53% 6%
Dominique de Villepin
$21,730 Vol.
31%
Marine Tondelier
$13,617 Vol.
30% 1%
Gabriel Attal
$18,982 Vol.
21% 1%
François Hollande
$43,640 Vol.
21% 5%
François Ruffin
$3,516 Vol.
20% 2%
Sarah Knafo
$40,123 Vol.
20%
François Asselineau
$15,644 Vol.
12% 1%
Delphine Batho
$3,213 Vol.
11%
Jordan Bardella
$32,753 Vol.
9%
Élisabeth Borne
$2,449 Vol.
8%
Michel Barnier
$3,260 Vol.
8%
Juan Branco
$9,815 Vol.
7% 1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$1,880 Vol.
7%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$12,840 Vol.
7%
Matthieu Pigasse
$17,524 Vol.
7%
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
$3,661 Vol.
7%
Olivier Faure
$7,521 Vol.
7%
Jean Castex
$3,922 Vol.
7%
François Bayrou
$5,410 Vol.
6%
Xavier Bertrand
$11,200 Vol.
6% 1%
Carole Delga
$5,075 Vol.
6%
Sébastien Lecornu
$6,044 Vol.
6%
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
$11,301 Vol.
6%
Manuel Bompard
$4,548 Vol.
6%
Karim Bouamrane
$11,325 Vol.
6%
Philippe de Villiers
$4,395 Vol.
6%
Mathilde Panot
$3,448 Vol.
6%
Teddy Riner
$15,151 Vol.
5% 2%
Manuel Valls
$1,238 Vol.
5%
Valérie Pécresse
$1,431 Vol.
5%
Gérald Darmanin
$6,130 Vol.
5%
Jérôme Guedj
$8,391 Vol.
5%
Bally Bagayoko
$10,161 Vol.
5%
Laurent Wauquiez
$21,638 Vol.
5%
Clémentine Autain
$2,041 Vol.
4% 1%
Ségolène Royal
$4,599 Vol.
4%

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, th...

Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 6:25 PM ET