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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Politics Vol. $372,736 50 traders

Jean-Luc Mélenchon95%
Marine Le Pen89%
Édouard Philippe88%
Fabien Roussel87%
$372,736 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

46
Chance
Marine Le Pen
86% ▲ 3
Jordan Bardella
13%
Éric Zemmour
82% ▲ 1
Édouard Philippe
85%
David Lisnard
56%
Xavier Bertrand
17%
Laurent Wauquiez
5%
François Ruffin
37% ▲ 1
Gabriel Attal
26% ▼ 1
Bruno Retailleau
72% ▲ 3
François Hollande
30% ▲ 2
Raphaël Glucksmann
60%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
92%
Marine Tondelier
26%
Fabien Roussel
84% ▲ 1
Olivier Faure
18% ▲ 5
Dominique de Villepin
32% ▲ 5
Ségolène Royal
5%
François Asselineau
11%
Clémentine Autain
3% ▼ 1
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
55% ▲ 1
Michel Barnier
6%
Valérie Pécresse
4%
François Bayrou
7%
Élisabeth Borne
8% ▲ 1
Yaël Braun-Pivet
7%
Jean Castex
6%
Gérald Darmanin
6%
Carole Delga
6%
Bernard Cazeneuve
8%
Manuel Bompard
9%
Mathilde Panot
7%
Sarah Knafo
15% ▲ 2
Sébastien Lecornu
8% ▲ 1
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
9%
Nathalie Arthaud
84%
Delphine Batho
9%
Jérôme Guedj
5%
Karim Bouamrane
7%
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
7%
Manuel Valls
7%
Teddy Riner
7%
Matthieu Pigasse
9%
Juan Branco
13%
Philippe de Villiers
6%
Bally Bagayoko
7%

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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